Oct
31
2008
0

obama rally in des moines

Western Gateway Park in downtown Des Moines on a stunningly beautiful Halloween morning

Photos from 10/31/2008 Obama rally in Des Moines, Iowa.

i arrived way too late to be anywhere near the podium, but had a pretty good spot within the spillover crowd, which extended a little over a block past the park itself. fortunately the sound system was excellent.

that white speck in the middle is barack. this is actually a much better look at him than i got with my own eyes -- give it up for zoom!

that white speck in the middle is barack. this is actually a much better look at him than i got with my own eyes -- give it up for zoom!

it's hard to get a good sense of the size of the crowd from these pictures, but it was quite a scene. iowa loves obama!

Oct
31
2008
0

This week in geek

My obsession with polls and other election-related news truly has officially moved from healthy political interest to unhealthy freaky compulsiveness. So with that in mind, I invite you, dear reader, to take a sojourn from Bradley effects, vicious genetic rumors and other campaign hijinks to read about my recent laptop exploits.

Our story begins last spring, when while ill I made a tactical error regarding the reliability of my motor skills and dropped my 12″ iBook with hard drive happily active. While the noises the drive made after the incident were positively fascinating, its ability to function as a reliable data storage device was not. I shelved the now-dead machine and purchased a refurbished MacBook for my lovely wife (now pregnant, I might add) so that she’d have a computer for school.

Fast forward several months to August, when I decided to attempt replacing the fatally wounded drive. Unlike the new Macbooks, the old 12″ iBook provided no easy access to the drive, and the process for replacing it is no small undertaking. Undeterred by 14-page instructions, the need to purchase strange-sounding tools and countless other warnings, I set out to give my laptop new life.

Alas, I found myself ultimately in the company of Dr. Frankenstein; the reanimation did not go well. Not only did I manage to rip off the delicate power supply socket from the motherboard (step 32 in the aforelinked guide), but it turned out that the drive I’d purchased had a different interface than that depicted in the guide, rendering it entirely useless for the task at hand. The machine was lost… I was left with little choice but to disassemble it as much as possible so as to alleviate my anguish. A photo of the disemboweled 12″ G4 iBook has been provided for your macabre pleasure.

no disassemble!

This left me pondering my next move. I loved the 12″ size; but of course Apple has discontinued it. I considered buying another refurbished MacBook, but could not justify the expense and did not relish the ensuing confusion with my spouse regarding whose machine was whose. Not long after, I learned of the netbook crafted by heretofore unheard-of Taiwanese company MSI that appeared well-suited to being a “Hackintosh.” Intrigued, I spent time doing research and concluded that it was an attractive option, but at $500+ cost more than I could justify spending for a mere 10″ screen and scant battery life. Around this time word also got out that Apple would be “refreshing” its laptop offerings in mid-October, and one of the many wild rumors was that a low-cost notebook was going to be released. I waited with baited breath.

Of course, no such machine was announced, as the rumored $800 item turned out to be a new display. I pondered getting one of the new MacBooks despite the price tag, but couldn’t stomach spending that much for a machine with a glossy screen and no firewire. Fortunately, at roughly the same time Apple announced its new machines, MSI revealed that Best Buy would be carrying its elegant little Wind for a mere $399.

While the circumstances of Best Buy’s sale of the MSI Wind were highly unusual — no mention on the Web site, for example — I managed to track the model down at a store just south of Denver while visiting my mother-in-law.

Then began the process of tailoring the machine to my needs (read: installing OS X). I bought a 4 GB USB stick drive on Amazon for around $13 to use as the vessel for the Leopard installer. I also bought a $14 Dell 1390 wifi card off eBay, as it is natively supported by OS X while the original Realtek that comes in the Wind is not. And I had a 1 GB of ram lying around (where it originated, I can’t recall) that I dropped in to improve performance — a boon considering it only had 1 GB to begin with.

After several hours spread across several days formatting partitions, running installers, updating the BIOS, adding kernel extensions and configuring other scripts, I now have a lovely, highly-portable, dual-boot laptop running OS X 10.5.5 and Windows XP Home. Though the webcam is a little flaky and the mic hears nothing, pretty much everything else works beautifully — even one of the more significant hurdles (getting the headphone jack to work) has been cleared thanks to an elegant integration of shell scripting, AppleScript and Quicksilver. The fora at msiwind.net and insanelymac.com have proven invaluable.

The machine is, of course, far from perfect. For one, battery life leaves a lot to be desired; I’m lucky to get 90 minutes on a charge. Fortunately, a more powerful 6-cell battery will be available at Amazon in a few days for $140 and I intend to acquire one. Considering that this entire setup has cost me a total of $456.80 to date — significantly less than half the cost of a new macbook — it’s an expense I can well afford.

Screen real estate is also problematic: 10″ and 1024×600 is a tight fit considering the preponderance of toolbars most applications now sport. But tools like Spaces help alleviate much of the pain, and even though programs like Aperture do run on the Wind, it’s not my intention to employ them often. The keyboard also takes some getting used to, due both to its small size and the presence of ctrl-windows-alt keys rather than the more familiar ctrl-option-command labels. And I do miss two-finger scrolling. But such quibbles are minor considering the low cost and high portability it offers.

Thus far I’m quite pleased with the results of this endeavor. For the most part, getting OS X running was exceptionally easy, and the utility the msiBook provides over my Blackberry (or, for that matter, an iPhone) was well worth the time and expense. If you’re looking for a portable solution that comes with a keyboard but is smaller and lighter than Apple’s current laptop offerings, I highly recommend considering an MSI Wind.

Written by Ben in: Apple, consumer electronics, technology |
Oct
30
2008
1

The Conspiracy Theory of the Millennium

Bear with me on this one. It’s a long post, but trust me, you’ll be glad you waded through it.

You guys know about Pamela Gellar, right? She’s one of the more colorful and unstable right-wing bloggers. At her blog Atlas Shrugs (no, I refuse to link to it), Ms. Gellar can be found spinning bizarre conspiracy theories, sputtering furiously about various slights against conservatives (some real, but mostly imagined), crusading for the obliteration of Islam (and all who profess its faith), and generally reveling in her own lack of tact. In the pantheon of crazy wingnut luminaries, she’s usually lumped in with Ann Coulter (because they both have ladyparts, they both perform what right-wing extremists apparently perceive to be sexiness, and that’s pretty much it. Well, that and their shared affinity for tastelessness), but she’s really more at home with crackpots like Pastor Grant Swank, Confederate Yankee, and Michael Savage. Y’know, monstrously stupid people with a penchant for fantasy. Gellar adds a heapin’ helpin’ of Michelle Malkin-style spite and sheer, spittle-flying hatred, just for good measure.

Pam’s rise to prominence can probably be attributed mostly to her aforementioned ladyparts (there’s nothing a right-blog dweller likes more than a woman they can imagine both discussing politics and having sex with), but also to the wonderful way she spins clusters of right-wing fantasy into intricate, yet wildly implausible conspiracy theories that, though they bear almost no resemblance to anything found in the realm of the possible, satisfy as many wingnut yearnings as possible. These baroque, almost inspired webs of Grimm Brothers-esque fiction usually follow the same trajectory: Gellar posts an extremely long, poorly sourced, increasingly preposterous story on her blog, claiming definitive proof of the awfulness of some liberal or group of liberals. Her commenting readership immediately posts adulatory paeans to her genius (no doubt typing one-handed), and shortly, her creation ripples throughout the right-wing blogosphere (which seems preternaturally predisposed to turning the spread of every story into a particularly erratic game of telephone). Inevitably, one left-wing blog or another (usually the incomparable Sadly, No!) starts mocking her story, leading her and her acolytes to ratchet up their certainty. A thorough debunking usually follows, though Gellar and her circle only rarely admit their errors, preferring instead to pretend the whole thing never happened (or, increasingly, drop the subject immediately, only to resurrect it later as common knowledge beyond the necessity of argument). A few days or weeks pass, and the cycle begins anew.

All of this is just background to explain why I’m so excited about her latest theory, which blows all the others out of the water. In the span of almost 12,500 words (all in a single post, mind you), she lays out her Grand Wingnut Theory of Barack Obama, which includes most of the conspiracy theories already surrounding the candidate, and accounts for many controversial (and not so controversial) figures lately linked (often only by rumor) to Obama, before introducing a whole new group of right-wing boogeymen supposedly now connected to Obama and his sinister plot to turn America into an Islamic Socialist Republic. You wanna know what the core of this grand theory is?

(more…)

Oct
27
2008
11

down the series of tubes

doesn't that look just say it all?

and with that, another miserable old fraud goes down, and a filibuster-proof senate majority becomes a legitimate possibility.

standard disclaimer about complacency and premature celebration, etc., but with obama’s prospects looking the way they do at the moment, is the presidential race is becoming just a little bit… boring? anybody else finding themselves more interested in the senate all of a sudden?

with stevens on ice, these seem to be the hot contests:

- Franken/Coleman in MN

- Lunsford/McConnell in KY

- Udall (my old congressman)/Schaffer in CO

- Merkley/Smith in OR

- Shaheen/Sununu in NH

- Hagan/Dole in NC

these are all tight contests, and most narrowly favor the democrat. assuming a sweep of all of the above, and one or two longshot flips like Martin in GA or maybe Musgrove in MS, a supermajority could happen. 

my guess is that november 4th will go down one of two ways:

obama will win, but by a relatively narrow margin — say, 5% or less in the popular vote — that will startle us with the realization of how much closer it was than everybody thought; in this case, we’ll be doing well to reach 56 in the senate, and president obama will have to contend with the semi-plausible impression of a divided electorate and the attendant, too-predictable gridlock and bipartisan half-assedness. (nevermind that bush got away with claiming a mandate on the strength of barely 51% — that was different.)

or, it will be seismic. obama wins with 300+ electoral votes, including some states like indiana that nobody thought would flip in a million years. in this scenario, we win all the close senate races and at least one or two surprise states. in which case, let’s just say that joe lieberman is going to find out what his colleagues really think of him.

if i had to guess, i’d say scenario A is more likely. but either way, it feels sooo gooood to see a corrupt motherfucker like ted stevens get some comeuppance. i’m pretty sure it makes me a bad person, but knowing that old crook is probably going to die in prison just makes me smile.

Oct
26
2008
1

With the finish line in sight…

As you may have noticed, things are bit bluer around the ol’ SB Ranch. Josh put in the photoshop time to craft up a new SBama-logo, all patrio-fied. Then someone over at Category4, figured out that maybe there are some WordPress users that might be fans of the man from Illinois. CSS is really great stuff for just this kind of thing,  and WordPress isn’t half bad either.

With a few days remaining, my vote already in the ballot box and no shortage of homework to avoid, I’m in an OCD loop of dailykos, mydd, fivethirtyeight, talkingpointsmemo, wonkette, huff post, real clear politics and then usually a trip by news.google.com just to see what I’m not hearing about after walking the left-side of the information superhighway. This sort of activity happens at least a dozen times a day, both on the iPod (between games of Fieldrunners) and on my desktop machine. This reminds me of when I sit at the command prompt of a linux/unix/*nix box, my muscle memory kicks in and types “ls” for a listing of the files in the directory. I guess I’m just a visual kind of guy, as I’ll do this more out of habit than any need to know what’s in the directory.

The same sort of behavior happens when I sit down at the tubes these days I’m quickly opening half a dozen tabs and loading all these sites. Anyone else finding themselves in similar patterns? Any sites I’m not checking, that you live or die by?

Written by charlie in: 2008 general election, Obama | Tags:
Oct
19
2008
0

Bros before… party affiliation

In case you missed it…

Written by Ben in: Election, Obama |
Oct
13
2008
8

Predictions, predictions

I have a lot of semi-free time on my hands these days, due to my main client’s inability to furnish me with a full 4 days of work per week. This time — only partly free, because I do need to be avilable to do work at a moment’s notice — is generally spent in front of my iMac perusing the latest news on Obama, polls, the MSI Wind netbook, and Apple-related stuff. I figure it’s high time to gaze into my crystal ball a bit.

First off, new offerings from Apple due tomorrow. The MacBook in my household is the property of my wife and spends most of its time on campus, which is why I’m tethered to my iMac. I’d love something portable so I could get out of the house a bit more (hence my OSX-on-Wind obsession). Rumors abound regarding tomorrow’s annoucement. While I’d love to see an inexpensive, netbook-like offering (I think an 11″ screen with a traditional HD and SD card reader would be perfect), I don’t see Apple going into the netbook realm — the iPhone is sophisticated enough a portable computing device that Apple will stay away from the netbook segment for a while.

I also don’t think we’ll see anything cheaper than $899, or that we’ll see a tablet laptop. Mac OS X isn’t designed for a tablet-style UI and Steve would never release a product where software and hardware weren’t in harmony. However, I think we will see an $899 MacBook. Trackpads will be bigger and support multitouch gestures, and cases will all be so very metal. MacBook Pro specs will get bumped up. Blu-ray seems like a possibility for the Pros and maybe upper-end MacBooks, but no way they offer it at the low end. I also expect some news related to AppleTV and the Mini. I’m not sure what it will be, but I don’t expect it to draw too much attention away from all the new laptops.

As for the election: It seems pretty clear to me that Obama’s finally hit his ceiling in the national polls. Unfortunately, that means that at the moment there’s nowhere to go but down, and down he will go. But I don’t expect that decline will be precipitous, and he may actually recover back to today’s numbers come November.

I definitely expect him to top 300 in the electoral college, though I’m not so optimistic to think Georgia, West Virginia or North Dakota are truly in play despite recent polls. I also actually think North Carolina’s unlikely to turn blue, even with Dean Smith endorsing Obama. Obama will take FL, NH, MN, OH and VA, but lose out on Nevada and Colorado, giving him a final total of 324 EV’s.

Of course, if Osama bin Laden endorses him or something else crazy happens these last few weeks, I reserve the right to amend that prognositication.

UPDATE: FiveThirtyEight.com just compiled today’s polls and things still look great for That One. But I still think McCain will mount a comeback and take what I outlined above (note that I’m putting Missouri in red, which I failed to mention).

Oct
08
2008
2

Time to get excited

Alright, I’m letting go of the reserved attitude from here on out. Will I be a broken person come November fifth if this thing gets stolen? Yes, but I’m tired of living in cautious hope, fearing that Obama is going to lose. The signs point to win, and it’s about damn time to get riled up.

Update: FiveThirtyEight.com agrees.

Now if we can get 60+ senate members

Written by charlie in: 2008 general election, Obama |
Oct
07
2008
0

The Twittered Election

http://election.twitter.com/

I’ve just added an RSS feed showing the last 5 tweets that match the search terms Obama OR Biden Or McCain Or Palin. These tweets are rolling out at an amazing rate, so fast that the RSS feed is delayed quite a bit. I suggest heading over to http://election.twitter.com/ to watch in near-real-time. It’s mesmerizing. I suppose twitter folk are more techno-literate and therefore I also assume they tend to be more liberal as most of the tweets are PrObama. The other side is represented by a lot of hate, and a lot of spammers. What a hoot, or is that tweet?

Tonight you can even comment live on the debate, via Twitter:

How to PARTICIPATE:

  1. 1. Tune in on October 7th at 9pm EST/ 6pm PST for the Live Presidential Debate. Find Current TV on your local cable/satellite provider or come here to watch the live stream of our broadcast.
  2. 2. Make sure you’ve registered with Twitter to participate.
  3. 3. During the debates, chime in by including “#current” in your tweet. Example:
    “This discussion about universal healthcare makes me want to pop some pills! #current”
  4. 4. We won’t be able to air every single tweet on TV, but you can see all of the #current tweets by searching #current on Twitter search.
  5. 5. If you have any questions about participating, send us a tweet @current.

Written by charlie in: 2008 general election, technology | Tags: , ,
Oct
06
2008
4

Hey Derek

contrary to polls that show georgia remaining solid red this year, fivethirtyeight.com has analysis of registration and early voting figures that actually suggest a potential obama lead on the strength of black votes.

Think these numbers sound unreasonable? Early voting is underway in Georgia, and according to the Atlanta Journal-Constitution, black voters do not represent 30 percent of Georgia’s early voter turnout. Instead, they represent almost 40 percent. Although early voting figures can be idiosyncratic, Barack Obama certainly seems to be having little trouble getting his vote out. Indeed, Barack Obama is winning Georgia right now.

d’you buy that?

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