Mar
15
2008

still relevant

hey, remember us? we’re iowa.

where’ve you been, democratic primary process? you never call anymore, you never write. seems like just a few weeks ago you were all over us. what happened?

well, while you were busy obsessing over obama’s crazy preacher and spitzer’s whoring, we just saved the day, again. y’know how hillary clinton’s campaign was resurrected by her dramatic victories in ohio and texas last week? (okay, so texas wasn’t really a victory. but she won ohio, right?)

yeah. about that.

see, john edwards’ iowa delegates refshuffled today — edwards came in second here, remember? — and, well, barack obama just picked up another seven cornfed hawkeye delegates. and another five in california. how many did clinton pick up in her big-shit ohio victory last week? nine, was it?

so clinton’s vaunted comeback — and i never quite understood how you pull off a “comeback” and still lag miles behind in the delegate count — has been negated, with interest. we’re right back to where we were two weeks ago, which is where we’ll be in july: it’s all but mathematically impossible for hillary clinton to win the delegates she needs to become the nominee.

we’re doing our bit here in the cornbelt. now if we could just do something about florida…

Written by josh in: Democratic Primary,Iowa,Iowa Caucus,Politics |

2 Comments »

  • mark

    Not only is mathematically impossible for Sen. Clinton to win, but it ain’t likely she’ll get the superdelegates either.

    The SPs, after all, are the kinda party activists who attend caucuses. And we all know how these things tend to shake down, don’t we?

    Besides, Clinton hasn’t gotten a new SP since 2/7. Meanwhile, Obama has almost caught up w/her.

    Clinton’s toast, but she can still destroy Obama’s candidacy …

    Comment | March 19, 2008
  • josh

    i agree. so does this guy:

    Hillary’s only chance of winning, as Markos has pointed out, is coup by superdelegate. Yesterday’s speech by Obama ended that option for good.

    People can reasonably debate whether Obama’s speech will sway white working class voters in Pennsylvania. But no one can disagree that the speech has hit State-level Democratic leaders (who make up the superdelegate population) like a thunderclap. The speech reminded long time Democratic activists of why they got into politics in the first place, and even Hillary’s supporters agree that it was a tour de force, and one of the greatest political speeches in modern times. There is simply no way that the superdelegates are going to move against Obama en masse in the wake of that earth shattering call to greatness. And it was a call to greatness, of the type no one under 60 has really heard from any political leader.

    The game is ending. The Michigan Florida do-over option is dead. And now, the coup by superdelegate strategy is dead as well. Obama is the nominee, even if Hillary has not been mathematically eliminated. Simply put, Hillary has about as much chance of winning as Jerry Brown did in 1992, when he continued to fight Bill Clinton in April and May, before Bill had locked up a delegate majority.

    Comment | March 20, 2008

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