Wake me up when November (2012) ends
I’ve been thinking a bit more about that “locust years” theme of Winston Churchill by way of Brad DeLong. That’s pretty much going to be the reality of the next 18 months, isn’t it, aside from whatever extent it can describe much of the past decade.
I don’t know about the Republicans, given that their agenda seems largely to be “make sure nothing gets done” anyway, at least when someone else is in the White House. But I imagine that Democrats hoped for something more for the years of the Obama presidency, and I’m almost sure that Obama himself did.
I mean, I think that most attempts to psychoanalyze the C-in-C get are pretty silly. But I don’t feel like you have to reach to believe that Obama really wanted to do more as President than the Affordable Care Act. But that took a loooong time, meanwhile there were various crises to deal with, and then suddenly the midterm elections were approaching and while I wish Obama had proposed a bit more, it still would have met with slim odds of congressional support leading up to last November and, obviously, would have met with a brick wall of GOP opposition since. (The idea that some indefinable “leadership” could/should have allowed someone to change these dynamics strikes me as, largely, an example of childish just-wave-a-magic-wand punditry.)
And at this point, it seems pretty certain to remain that way until the next congress gets into office, at the earliest. I guess we can look back a year to the many people arguing for the blessings of divided government, and conclude that they were, um, imbeciles, now. Officially.
NPR’s Frank James (who, despite a vast capacity for being a bloviating poltroon, occasionally says something thoughtful or at least interesting) suggests that Obama may spend the next year peppering congress with ambitious proposals in order to highlight GOP obstinacy and pull off a Truman-esque win in 2012. But, obviously, law of low expectations applies not only because Obama may not actually make such a dramatic change in strategy but, also, because even if he does and regardless of whether it works, it still wouldn’t disturb the assumption that America’s federal national government will be frozen for the next year and a half, barring another acute catastrophe.
So it goes. If there’s any bright side to this, I suppose it may be that I am spared any feeling of obligation to compose another futile effort at swaying my congressional representatives on this or that major issue. If congress is effectively going to be taking a holiday, and not even bothering to seriously consider any major legislation, well, screw it, I think. As noted, my writing to congressmen is obviously a primarily symbolic effort at all times, anyway. But if congress will be unwilling (or, thanks to the unwillingness of a large enough portion of its members, unable) to even pretend to be interested in productive reforms, well, I probably won’t bother pretending to believe that they give a damn about my input.

