Sep
30
2008
0

A self-fulfilling economic crisis

I’m not the only one suggesting that maybe the DJIA dive is simply the traders on Wall Street doing what they can to force the bailout:

(A) bailout transfers enormous wealth from taxpayers to those who knowingly engaged in risky subprime lending. Thus, the bailout encourages companies to take large, imprudent risks and count on getting bailed out by government. This “moral hazard” generates enormous distortions in an economy’s allocation of its financial resources.

Thoughtful advocates of the bailout might concede this perspective, but they argue that a bailout is necessary to prevent economic collapse. According to this view, lenders are not making loans, even for worthy projects, because they cannot get capital. This view has a grain of truth; if the bailout does not occur, more bankruptcies are possible and credit conditions may worsen for a time.

Talk of Armageddon, however, is ridiculous scare-mongering. If financial institutions cannot make productive loans, a profit opportunity exists for someone else. This might not happen instantly, but it will happen.

Further, the current credit freeze is likely due to Wall Street’s hope of a bailout; bankers will not sell their lousy assets for 20 cents on the dollar if the government might pay 30, 50, or 80 cents.

http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/09/29/miron.bailout/index.html

200 Economists agree that yesterday’s vote was the right way to go. Is it a cause to celebrate? No, but it’s certainly time to stop saying things like “Great Depression 2.”

Written by charlie in: 2008 general election,Economy | Tags:

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